Verity MarketsLIVE
— Markets • — Opportunities • Model calibrating • Updated —
Portfolio
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Kalshi
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Today realized P&L$0
Settled today (W / L)0 / 0
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Poly.US
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Unrealized
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kalshi: connecting…
odds: —
Verified Picks
Only edges the settled record has earned — proven category + PASS verdict + no leak flags.
Price Dislocations
Cross-market opportunities where Kalshi and Poly.US price the same outcome differently — buy both sides to lock the spread. Ranked by edge, then by event-match confidence. Matches are inferred: rows are paired by title similarity, not a verified identifier. Trade only if you confirm both rows resolve on the identical event.
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Perps
Monthly direction for Kalshi crypto perpetuals — a trend + momentum lean, strongest conviction first.
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Model accuracy
How the fair-value model has actually performed against the market — calibration, per-category Brier, and your tracked P&L. Lower Brier than the market = real edge.
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Track record — the app's calls vs the opening line
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Backtest — does the model beat the market?
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Per-category model accuracy
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Your tracked P&L by category
Min Vol $10K
Verdict
📖 Quick guide
Topic — Pick a category from the dropdown to narrow the slate (crypto, politics, weather, tennis, esports…).
Where — Which market(s) to show. Kalshi = US-regulated, USD. Poly.US = Polymarket's regulated US app. Watchlist = your saved ⭐ picks.
Verdict — The dashboard's automatic rating. Pass = AI thinks it's mispriced + meets your thresholds. Margin = borderline.
Hover any button on desktop, or tap and hold on mobile, to see what it does.
⚙️ Filters & Stats ▼
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Total Markets
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Polymarket
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Kalshi
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Poly.US
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Pass Filters
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Best Edge
📈 Trade performance click to load · last 30 days
🧠 Adaptive Intelligence Calibrating...
📊 Bet Insights Tap to load
Model Backtest Tap to load
⚡ Cross-Platform Arbitrage 0
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MarketBuy YESBuy NOArb EdgeGap
Scanning for cross-platform price gaps across Polymarket, Kalshi & polymarket.us...
Status
Where
Market
Yes
No
Fair %
Edge
Payout
Buy
Volume
Liquidity
Link
PASS — meets filters & positive edge MARGIN — borderline / no fair value REJECT — bad bet
Run node proxy.js first. Polymarket via Gamma API, Kalshi via public markets endpoint (no auth needed). Fair % is your manual estimate. Showing top 100 results sorted by current sort key. Not financial advice.